Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 7.226727 8.457899 9.808269 11.395646 13.206697 15.204586 17.571391
2026-02-01 4.954668 6.551196 8.492530 11.009337 14.166325 17.974112 22.890892
2026-02-08 3.599974 5.260183 7.454305 10.527587 14.675526 20.027948 27.395685
2026-02-15 2.752292 4.384260 6.700034 10.161061 15.122781 21.885187 31.681485
2026-02-22 2.329255 3.994370 6.503556 10.461664 16.423783 24.917315 37.734303
2026-03-01 2.013282 3.692233 6.363167 10.783783 17.738447 28.034299 44.126753
2026-03-08 1.635459 3.210164 5.855164 10.446197 17.982979 29.564056 48.286612
2026-03-15 1.354073 2.835113 5.453426 10.203920 18.313973 31.206242 52.694079
2026-03-22 1.240492 2.742516 5.513960 10.729828 19.924570 34.949589 60.615585
2026-03-29 1.119704 2.611928 5.483004 11.081690 21.260291 38.336235 68.193864
2026-04-05 0.976926 2.408728 5.284314 11.097641 21.999620 40.776174 74.376772
2026-04-12 0.842964 2.197442 5.036590 10.984265 22.482330 42.797969 79.975781
2026-04-19 0.697404 1.940421 4.678470 10.653768 22.611795 44.358820 85.169079
2026-04-26 0.578003 1.719564 4.364336 10.378595 22.836890 46.149747 90.992405
2026-05-03 0.468181 1.493982 3.998216 9.938317 22.681414 47.222675 95.609436
2026-05-10 0.384046 1.312928 3.698980 9.593292 22.667252 48.539645 100.749745
2026-05-17 0.346817 1.254145 3.682600 9.879633 23.993603 52.528568 111.169006
2026-05-24 0.314984 1.203026 3.676040 10.185973 25.390117 56.757252 122.330336
2026-05-31 0.261300 1.067523 3.424075 9.865085 25.369196 58.136352 128.041689
2026-06-07 0.219684 0.958567 3.221859 9.634814 25.520436 59.867249 134.553488
2026-06-14 0.207482 0.949562 3.300439 10.134712 27.411024 65.368216 149.015695
2026-06-21 0.191170 0.920684 3.315742 10.469250 28.940964 70.208322 162.421926
2026-06-28 0.168106 0.858319 3.218119 10.484417 29.699375 73.434115 172.679279